Bakes' Takes Podcast E30 1) Stock market-Trump is still going to win 2) Bonds still suck 3) Levity

Stock Market Authority - A podcast by Kevin Baker

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Bakes’ Takes Podcast Show Notes Sunday October 11, 2020   :24 1) Stock market—Trump is still going to win 2) Bonds still suck. 3) Levity still much needed.   Bakes’ Takes—My Portfolio   https://www.pennlive.com/news/2020/10/harrisburg-university-esports-program-recognized-as-one-of-nations-best.html :41 Every week a new college touts an esports initiative   Bakes’ Take—very strong trend   1:54 Bakes’ Take—Fan Mail! Calls! Questions! Mike!   Charlie, NYC—Biden victory lift stock prices—stimulus. Spending (infrastructure, healthcare), less trade friction. Biden victory more constructive for stock market long-term?   Stocks select Presidents, not the other way around. Trump-lower taxes, regulation. Biden-Infrastructure. Predicting what gets through Congress beyond my pay grade. Not dazzled by any politician I see now.   6:43 Bear Traps Report   https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/too-much-money-nowhere-to-put-it-joe-terranova-u-oregon/id1456467014?i=1000494144750 7:40 at 47 minutes Josh Brown reflects on Eisenhower, troops coming home, highways, etc., Obama, out of financial crisis, Presidents get too much credit, too much blame   Bakes’ Take—Focus on charts, groups. Let the market tell you what is promising. Ignore prognosticators.   Ideas, services you’d like me to add, etc. Please!                              10:36 Bakes’ Take—Podcasts of the Week! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ichI8T-QuCE SPAC talk with Chamath Palihapitiya, David Friedberg, David Sacks & Jason Calacanis | from Episode 7—at 3 minutes, on why Chamath kickstarted SPAC movement   https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkczIuZmVlZGJ1cm5lci5jb20vdHdpc3QtYXVkaW8/episode/aHR0cHM6Ly90aGlzd2Vla2luc3RhcnR1cHMuY29tLz9wPTQxNDM0?hl=en&ved=2ahUKEwjW09T7nbbsAhUlWN 12:18 Jason Calacanis thinks Apple 12 is a joke, F-, no supercycle for upgrades, first time he is not buying out of gate, one man’s opinion but influential Silicon Valley angel investor   13:28 Revenue growth anemic, 9% eps growth this year, 19% next, numbers coming down, 37 P/E, volume picking up on down weeks in this case, not horrendous chart   Bakes’ Takes—SPAC’s proceed with caution. If AAPL rolls over markets going to have tough time, #1 stock in SPX, 7.3%, $2.1T market cap   https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9yc3MuYWNhc3QuY29tL3RoZWVjb25vbWlzdGFsbGF1ZGlv/episode/ODg0YzcxMTItYjY2Ny00NTgyLWE2OGMtN2Y3MDYyYTQwM2Mz?hl=en&ved=2ahUKEwipj4Ohq7bsAhXoYN8KHUUeDjsQieUEegQIDRAI&ep=6 15:15 China vs. Taiwan tensions escalating   Bakes’ Take—Reporters of the Week!   https://www.wsj.com/articles/wheat-prices-skyrocket-after-dry-weather-coronavirus-lockdowns-11602249791 By  Kirk Maltais  and  Will Horner   17:01 Wheat prices have hit their highest level in over five years in reaction to scorching weather, concerns over food insecurity brought on by the coronavirus pandemic and the lockdowns put in place to fight it.   The most-active futures contract for wheat trading on the Chicago Board of Trade closed Wednesday at just over $6.07 a bushel, the highest close for wheat since June 2015. Wheat futures have risen over 15% since Aug. 1, attracting investors who think the price surge could continue.   Dry weather this year has hit wheat-growing areas around the world, including the U.S., Ukraine and Russia.   18:08 Bake’s Take—Good example. Chart guides me to pay attention for other data points. My hope is our community grows and we all come up with off-the-beaten-path ideas we can all profit from.   Bakes’ Take—Charts/Tweets of the Week!   19:08 Howard Marks’ latest memo. Great illustration.   21:00 Like I said—Bonds suck! Yields up, bonds down, in “safe” part of portfolio.   23: 53 Incredible!   25:54 Huge, unprecedented.   26:08 Biden/Dems—take 10-12% out of next year’s earnings? Doubt all priced in 27:15 Bear Traps Report   31:21 The Hustle 10/8/20   Please also subscribe to my Bakes’ Takes YouTube Channel, the audio is the same but the charts that I reference are on the screen. Follow us o