Episode 1030: Think Tank: Distributor DKSH sees slowdown in demand; turning point possible Q4 ‘23/Q1 ‘24
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BARCELONA (ICIS)—Distributor DKSH has observed a contraction in demand since Q4 2022 in some sectors with others maintaining growth but remains focussed on transforming the business to create geographic and product balance through mergers & acquisitions (M&A) and organic growth.- Southeast Asia still growing but has slowed compared to recent years- China – manufacturing industry sees domestic, export demand falling, oversupply, margin pressure; slight increase in demand in H2- Japan – macroeconomic stagnation but DKSH sees growth in specialties, life sciences- DKSH may benefit from consumer move to low cost products especially in food, personal care- Downturn longer, deeper and more impactful than 2007/2008 - Globally industrial demand depressed, turning point possible Q4 2023/Q1 2024- North America – Q4 2022 customers stopped ordering, particularly in construction - Europe affected by inflation, energy prices, industrial policy- Personal care, food, pharma fare better than industrials- DKSH aims for balance between life sciences, industrials- M&A targets Europe, US, Asia Pacific to help balance regions- Digitalization, artificial intelligence to transform distribution