Episode 1063: Think Tank: Europe petrochemicals face another ‘Winter of Discontent’ despite better gas supply
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Gas storage is bigger and more full, but region’s chemical sector faces another difficult winter driven by poor demand and overcapacity, especially in China. - Europe ICIS TTF benchmark gas price collapses from more than €300/MWh to €34/MWh for October- Europe gas storage is 95%, should be 100% by November- More storage, import facilities mean region is better prepared than last year- Germany industrial demand is 20% lower than 5-year average- Cold winter in Asia and Europe would cause problems- Long-term global LNG supplies will rise as US, Qatar almost double production- Fertilizer demand is up as prices have fallen - Europe fertilizer sector undermined by cheap imports- Fertilizer production in Europe has risen from 30% to 70% of capacity- China demographics, property woes will stifle economy- China chemical exports will continue to rise