Why Every Trading Idea is Not Worth Your Capital
Mind Over Markets - A podcast by George Papazov
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In today’s episode, we are going to be discussing a topic that we believe will help a lot of traders out and that is why every trade idea is not necessarily a trade that you should execute. New traders as well as traders struggling to find consistent profitability tend to find themselves in a hamster wheel of frustration which occurs as a result of wanting to jump in on every single trade idea that they come across in an attempt to make as much money as possible as quickly as possible. The issue with this approach comes down to the simple fact that quality always trumps quantity and that the key to trading profitably is to only execute on the highest probability setups because that is where you have positive expectancy. We always mention that making money is the easy part of this industry, the difficulty, and were a lot of traders struggle, is in keeping those profits as you continue trading! The real difference between professional traders and unprofitable traders is that the professionals will pass on a potential trade idea if the market doesn’t give them exactly what they want to see, whereas the losing trader will take every single trade idea regardless of the quality of the setup. Our goal today is to provide you with some actionable tips that you can use in order to find the right balance between identifying trade ideas and executing on only the best ones! Before we get into trade ideas, let’s pull back the curtain on thoughts in everyday life and how those translate into trading: It is estimated that humans have on average 6,200 thoughts a day A lot of these thoughts are ideas (hey I should clean my car, I’ll work out today, etc) You have 6.5 thoughts a minute - but how many of these thoughts turn to action? Very few - most of them enter our brain and exit without any meaningful action taken Trading ideas are the same It is a thought about the market - but it’s not a direct call to action, not every thought or idea will turn into a trade We look at trade ideas as opportunities…. but not all opportunities are the same, and not all deserve your capital and mental energy So what is the call to action for a trading “idea”? You have to filter out opportunities to find only the best ones One way to filter out these ideas is to use qualifiers You can’t expect to have the perfect qualifiers on your first trade ever, it takes screen time and experience to refine them The problem is these qualifiers change on market conditions A good strategy to apply is to talk aloud when qualifying a potential trade idea. By doing so, we become the listener as well as the speaker. It gives our ideas greater objectivity - we become more aware of those ideas, it adds a layer of mindfulness to what we’re doing. Let’s say I have an impulse to get long or short an asset because of the way it’s moving and I don’t want it to move against me. If I say out loud what I’m thinking and what I’m about to do, immediately I can recognize if it sounds ridiculous: “This is not how I do my best money management, I’m being completely reactive.” We get a layer of self-observation when we talk out loud that can be really useful. It makes us in a certain sense accountable. The process from trade idea to execution can be broken down into two categories: Trade Idea Formation - Morning mindset and wellness routine Pre-market preparation - news, market drivers, and catalysts Draw your levels of support and resistance Wait for the market to enter your level - this creates a trade idea, opportunity Qualify the trade using your engines (qualifiers, filters) Trade Execution - Use order flow to pick a good place to put in your limit order Once in a trade, manage risk until you’re at breakeven Then manage the winning side of the trade to run the profits Repeat Tips to help you transition from idea to execution Split the process into two