What we think about the talk of a pending crash

The SFR Show - A podcast by Roofstock

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There are so many people talking about a pending economic crash. When are they not? In this episode, we discuss how we are thinking about our investment strategies in light of this topic. Even though timing the market is not a reliable strategy, it is important to hedge for the ever-present possibility of an economic downturn.  --- Transcript Before we jump into the episode, here's a quick disclaimer about our content. The Remote Real Estate Investor Podcast is for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. The views opinions and strategies of both the hosts and the guests are their own and should not be considered as guidance from Roofstock. Make sure to always run your own numbers, make your own independent decisions and seek investment advice from licensed professionals.   Emil: Hey everybody, welcome back for another episode of The Remote Real Estate Investor. My name is Emil Shour and my co host today are Tom Schneider, and Michael Albaum and on this episode we're gonna be talking about all the doom and gloom headlines you may be reading out there so lots of YouTube channels lots of articles out there are saying there's an impending crash and so the three of us are just going to weigh in and tell you what we think tell you how we think you can navigate this and come out ahead so let's hop into this episode.   Michael: I think it's important to just start start off by saying that this is not a prediction of crystal balls it's just so that everyone's been talking about it we were talking about the upset everyone's been chittering chatting, chattering, Chaturanga, chatting about this impending crash that we said let's talk about what you can do and this is applicable really for any crash whether it's tomorrow five years from now 10 years from now these are just I think solid and sound principles that we plan on using to insulate ourselves from from a crash.   Tom: Definitely anyone who says they know when the crashes like happening just like run the other direction anyone who tells you Here are some easy you know here's the the easy no work way to make money run the other direction so anyways excited for this episode   Emil: Let me ask you guys this When did you start investing? When did you guys start investing in real estate? What year?   Michael: Like 2012.   Tom: Almost like well, yeah about 10 years 2014   Emil: So maybe you guys probably didn't see it as much I started in 2017 and I remember in 2017 I would probably see that headline at least once a week of like another bubble, bubble coming market crash crash like YouTube videos headlines, though since 2017.   Michael: Real click-baity stuff.   Emil: Yeah, and this is four years ago and so I think my my hypothesis here is it's click baity, no one has any idea at some point right? Someone's going to be right if you just keep saying every single month a crash is coming a crash is coming. You say that for seven years I guess at some point you may be right and then you're like See I told you so.   Michael: I'm a genius.   Tom: Kind of sorry I'm diverging a little bit I love that that's a great point of just saying that every day I heard the story about like fund managers that would have like tons of different diverse funds and like one would hit and then they would market everything on that one like diverse fund ended up kind of a similar sorry distracted Tom see what's a squirrel running by go ahead sorry keep going.   Emil: No I mean yeah, this is just casual conversation. I just think it's it's a it's clickbait I don't think anyone knows when it's going to happen it real estate moves in cycles Yes, there's going to be ups and downs right? This this kind of trajectory have been on where things have only gone up that is not sustainable forever. None of us I don't think are going to say that real estate only goes up or that anything only goes up things come down but I think it's a fool's errand to try to predict when those things wil