UMP Episode 27: Risk of a Deflationary Collapse in The Economy Is Rising with Alex Gurevich

In this episode, we are joined by Alex Gurevich, Founder & CIO of Honte Advisors LLC, to explore his view of the economy and financial markets. Alex believes the economy is heading towards a deflationary bust rather than an inflationary spiral. We break down his thesis in detail by discussing the key factors Alex is monitoring and what could cause his thesis to be proven right or wrong.We cover a wide range of topics, including the 2-year lag effect between policy decisions and their impact on the economy, the influence of increasing interest rates on the stock market, the uptick in commodity prices, dollar liquidity, bonds, and much more.Alex Gurevich is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of HonTe Advisors, a global macro investment firm based in San Francisco. He has over 25 years of experience in trading, including roles at Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan, and his own family office. He is also the author of the Wall Street Journal bestselling book The Trades of March 2020, which chronicles his investment performance during the pandemic, and The Next Perfect Trade.Alex is known for his rigorous trade selection process and his focus on thematic, multi-asset class investing. His insights have been featured in publications such as the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, and CNBC.0:00 – Alex’s Thoughts on Recent Bond Market Volatility6:44 – Peak Deflation in 2024/202514:25 – Alex’s Chart – 10yr Yield & S&P 500 Relationship21:20 – Oil & Commodities24:30 – Disproving Alex’s Deflationary Outlook33:40 – Recapping Alex’s Deflationary Thesis35:20 – How Alex is Positioned for Deflation37:10 – Commercial Real Estate RiskFOLLOW ALEX GUREVICH: - Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/agurevich23- Honte Advisors: https://honteinv.com/FOLLOW THE SHOW: - Understanding Macro Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/UMacroPodcast - Website: https://www.understandingmacro.com/ ABOUT THE SHOW: Welcome to the Understanding Macro Podcast, where we explore the intersection of technology, macroeconomics and financial markets. Each week we aim to bring you thought-provoking conversations with our expert guests or introduce you to new concepts to help make you a better-informed investor. Whether you’re just a finance nerd like myself, a seasoned investor, or simply interested in how the macro economy affects your daily life, Understanding Macro has something for you. **Nothing in this show is intended to be investment or financial advice. This content is for entertainment purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions**.#investing  #stocks  #economy